Capabilities of a short forecast of earthquakes on the basis of satellite monitoring of cloud cover linear anomalies
Heading:
| 1Lyalko, VI, 1Vorobiev, AI, 1Shulga, VI 1State institution «Scientific Centre for Aerospace Research of the Earth of the Institute of Geological Sciences of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine», Kyiv, Ukraine |
| Kosm. nauka tehnol. 2008, 14 ;(6):069-072 |
| https://doi.org/10.15407/knit2008.06.069 |
| Publication Language: Ukrainian |
Abstract: On the basis of precursor activities on a long-range forecasting of earthquakes, it is established that at present the migration of seismic activity area from the Northern Caucasus in the direction of southern regions of Ukraine, and first of all in the direction of Kerch and Crimean peninsulas. Within 10–15 years a considerable increase of seismic activity is expected in these regions. An increase of incidence of earthquakes nearby southern regions of Ukraine (the Northern Caucasus) points to this as well. Therefore, researches on the problem of the earthquake forecast are actual for Ukraine. We confirm the possibility of short forecast of earthquakes with magnitudes of 4–5 and more balls (on the Richter's scale) on the basis of satellite monitoring of linear anomalies of cloud cover. This conclusion was made from the analysis of the satellite sensor MODIS images registered before Anapskiy (9 November 2002) and Tersko-Sungenskiy (12 October 2006) earthquakes.
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| Keywords: forecasting of earthquakes, satellite monitoring, seismic activity |
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