Prediction of the maximum of solar cycle 24

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Astronomy and Astrophysics
1Pishkalo, MI
1Astronomical Observatory of the Taras Shevchenko National University of Kyiv, Kyiv, Ukraine
Kosm. nauka tehnol. 2010, 16 ;(3):32-38
https://doi.org/10.15407/knit2010.03.032
Publication Language: Russian
Abstract: 
Our prediction of the maximal Wolf number and of the maximum epoch for the solar cycle 24 is presented. The prediction is developed using both mean characteristics of solar cycles 1‒23 and observed magnitudes of solar polar magnetic fields and values for the flattening index of the solar corona at the minimum epoch. Solar cycle 24 is expected to amount up to a maximal amplitude of 88 ± 17 at the beginning of 2014. The next minimum is anticipated to be in the first half of 2020. The duration of solar cycle 24 will be about 11.3 years.
Keywords: magnetic fields, solar corona, solar cycle
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